Kamala Harris Leads Trump by 6.6 Points in Latest 2024 Election Poll

In the latest survey by Outward Intelligence, Vice President Kamala Harris holds a notable 6.6-point lead over former President Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential race. The poll, conducted between September 15 and 19, shows Harris with 51.2% support among likely voters, while Trump follows with 44.6%. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. trails significantly with just 2.4% of the vote, while other candidates remain below 1% support.

The poll factored in preferences from undecided voters, offering a comprehensive view of the current voter landscape. The results highlight a stable race between Harris and Trump, with both candidates seeing slight increases in support over recent weeks. Meanwhile, Kennedy's support has dwindled, dropping from 6.1% in Week 1 to just 2.1% by Week 5, indicating declining interest in his candidacy.

Steady Contest as Election Day Approaches

As the race heats up, voters appear to be solidifying their choices, with the contest between the Democratic and Republican candidates becoming more defined. The poll suggests that the two-party race is intensifying as Election Day nears.

Poll Methodology

The poll surveyed 1,880 likely voters through an online sample, with a margin of error of +/- 2.3%. The data was collected using quotas based on U.S. Census demographics, including age, gender, race/ethnicity, income, and region. It was further weighted for educational attainment, political affiliation, and other key factors to ensure accuracy and representativeness.

Funded entirely by Outward Intelligence, this poll provides critical insights into the current state of the race, revealing a competitive but consistent edge for Harris over Trump.